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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
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Author: CapitalAlligator   😊 😞
Number: of 1166 
Subject: Re: Nestlé
Date: 10/18/24 2:53 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 9

Didn’t they purchase the glyphosate litigation? Why would I want to own a piece of that kind of decision making?

Clearly the Monsanto acquisition has been disastrous. I stipulate bad management, a huge liability, uncertain outcomes. For you, and probably most other investors, this makes Bayer simply untouchable. That's fine. Perfectly valid perspective.

But if Bayer survives the litigation, contains their liability, and remains a going concern, what's it worth in ten years? 50B, 60B, 70B Euro? Pencil in what you like for those probabilities, discount for time and a margin of safety, and there is a price where it's a good bet. This is also a valid perspective.






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