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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: Dope1   😊 😞
Number: of 48412 
Subject: Re: Cease-fire between Iran/Israel
Date: 06/23/2025 8:07 PM
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That Iran agreed to this tells us

*Their military has been severely degraded
*They likely can't even mount token responses for much longer
*With no ability to resist any air attack, the next things to go would be their oil infrastructure. That's Game Over for their economy in that case
*Their jamming stunt in the Gulf pissed off China, who likely said Don't Do That
*They have no ability to project power via Hamas and Hezbollah anymore, as the former is tied up and the latter doesn't really exist anymore

and

*The Mullahs need time to rebuild and re-assert control over the country.
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