No. of Recommendations: 6
So it's a very big deal with a minority party is able to grab an important office in a state like that. And the Democrats have opportunities in two states to do that. If Talarico can win in Texas, he brings an instant massive shot of power to Texas State Democratic party - as now all the businesses and "middle" folks that have been able to get by only playing with Republicans find themselves needed to have relationships with a Democrat for the first time in decades. And there's two races in Iowa that the Democrats are competitive in - and while it's only been a decade that the Democrats have been completely out of power there, getting one or both of those seats would be hugely important.
Call me skeptical. A Senate seat has very little in-state power. The theory is probably valid for governors' races and state legislatures, but not for the U.S. Senate. Success in Senate races is 100% about controlling the federal government.
If Gina Hinojosa wins the governor's race, THAT will be a Texas earthquake.