Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of PoliticsBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (6) |
Author: albaby1 SILVER
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 84361 
Subject: Re: About the impossibility of a 3rd Trump term
Date: 12/18/25 5:01 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 8
If 3rd terms are approved, Obama would bury him in a landslide deeper than anybody has ever seen; the greatest mandate in the history of mankind.

It wouldn't work like that.

Dershowitz' rather contrived theory is based on the idea that the 22nd Amendment provides that no one can be elected to the office of President more than twice, but that the contingent procedure in the 12th Amendment (which governs if no one gets a majority of electoral votes) isn't an election. The House doesn't "elect" the President, in his reading - it "chooses" the President. So his method for Trump to serve a third term without being elected is:

1) He runs in 2028 and wins enough states to have a majority of EV's;
2) Enough Electors abstain from the Electoral College vote that there isn't a majority;
3) The House then chooses him to be President again.

The trick here is that the House "selection" is done by state, not by number of Representatives. Republicans hold the majority of Reps in 30 states, Democrats 18 (there are two that are evenly split). Even if the Democrats win the house in 2028, it is somewhat unlikely that they would flip enough of those state majorities to be able to control the House "selection."

All of this is utterly implausible. The slightly less implausible scenario is that Trump has two stalking horse candidates run in the election (say, a Don Jr./Jared Kushner ticket) and they win, and then Trump gets himself chosen as the Speaker of the House. The two stalking horse simultaneously resign, and Trump ascends to the Presidency for a third term, with no need to argue about whether what the House does in a "no electoral winner" scenario is an election or not.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to albaby1 here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
It's going to get worse · 33 recs · 2025
G’day Donny · 30 recs · 2026
Old Related Story · 28 recs · 2026
HCR is a national treasure · 27 recs · 2025
Fascism in America · 27 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (6) |


Announcements
US Policy FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Politics | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community