Post #669 by Mark19 on the Mechanical Investing board

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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing

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Thank you for your thoughtful and intelligent reply. I was not clear about what I meant by beating the market. What I meant was beating a 70/30 stock bond mix. I think using the cape ratio as opposed to the decline in the market is a better technique. The cape ratio has been elevated since the 90s, so I don't think you can go on the cape ratio going back to 1926 when good records started being kept. I would think that using the cape ratio from say 1990 on would be a better technique.

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