No. of Recommendations: 1
After reading all the posts on this thread, I ran a backtest on testfol.io. Limited by the inception date of VXUS to 1/28/2011.
Of the three, VEA, VXUS, VSS, that's the order of CAGRs.
testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset AllocationThen added VOO. Eye opening.
testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation Add BRK-B to them and see how it compares. Yikes.
Add VTI and see how it compares. Yikes again.
There is a saying "“When America Sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold." and "When America gets a cold, the rest of the world gets the flu."
Looking at the energy problems that Germany, France, etc. are having it is hard to think their economies will be great.
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FWIW, the weekly Global Equities Momentum (GEM) model has been US (VTI) since 6/25/2023.
VEA was the pick from 1/08/23 to 6/25/23.
optimalmomentum.com - Extended backtest of global equities momentumSince I have been tracking it weekly since 8/3/2008,
VEA was the pick 118 times and VTI 571 times. And AGG 161 times.
In the range 1/9/2011 to now, VEA 94 times, VTI 528 times. CAGR 8.4%
VEA 1/9/11 to now = 5.65%
VTI 1/9/11 to now = 13.2%
