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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: DTB   😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: Price drop today
Date: 05/05/25 3:57 PM
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BRKA's share price is down 4% today, with the broad market flat. Of course this is just a knee jerk to Warren's announcement of his retirement, but in my biased mind IV may just have dropped 4% as well. With no disrespect to Greg Abel, IV depends on future BV growth, and no one is as good at growing BV and IV as Warren.

I agree, 4% seems quite reasonable, (although the number is now 5%), and maybe it should have fallen more.

The company will do fine, with its subsidiaries generally safe companies operating reasonably well, and a ton of cash as optionality. However, that optionality just took a big drop in value. We all knew that Buffett would be handing over the CEO job to Abel in the next 2-3 years, but now it is done (at least as of Dec 31st) and that $300b in optionality is now much more likely to be used by Abel rather than Buffett. I susspect that the fact that Buffett has decided to pass the reins is because he feels he is already not functioning as well as before. While I think Abel will be an excellent operations manager, I have no way of knowing whether he will be a great capital allocator, and it is virtually certain that he will not be as good as the greatest capital allocator we have known.

I sold my shares at around $425, and I would like to reestablish a small position in Berkshire eventually, but I am in no hurry, with just a 5% discount from a price which at $500/B-share is still up more than 25% in the last year, from levels that were already higher than the historical norm.

DTB
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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