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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mo   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: NDX 100 Momentum Strategy - Code Repository
Date: 03/08/26 12:38 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 7
If we get constituents exactly at intervals, we can get perfect findings with this engine.

For Rayvt, I ran gtt against qqq for giggles, and here's what we found:

nteresting results on QQQ:

SPY QQQ
Buy & Hold +7.9%, -55% DD +8.0%, -83% DD
10mo SMA +7.7%, -25% DD +8.8%, -45% DD
GTT Growth +9.0%, -33% DD +9.7%, -69% DD
GTT Unemploy +9.4%, -34% DD +9.4%, -68% DD
GTT still boosts CAGR on QQQ, but the drawdown protection is weaker — QQQ fell so fast in the dot-com bust that the monthly signal couldn't get out fast enough (-69% vs -83% buy & hold). The 10mo SMA actually has the best risk-adjusted return on QQQ (Sharpe 0.56 vs 0.53 for GTT) because it doesn't stay invested during the early stages of crashes the way GTT does when growth looks healthy.

Key takeaway: GTT was designed for S&P 500. On a more volatile asset like QQQ, the pure 10-month SMA is arguably better on a risk-adjusted basis — it doesn't wait for the macro data to confirm the downturn.
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