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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: albaby1 SILVER
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Number: of 84364 
Subject: Re: A reminder from 2020
Date: 11/05/24 3:27 PM
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Albaby, this explains why money is betting on Trump and djt

It explains one theory of how Trump could win, sure. The GOP has had much better performance in early voting this cycle than 2020.

But we don't know what that will mean, in terms of voting. Historically, people who vote early are people that would have voted anyway. In most jurisdictions, it takes some preparation and planning to vote early, either in-person or absentee. Offering non-election day voting options has generally shifted when people who would have voted end up voting, with minimal impact on who votes.

So the fact that the GOP is doing better this time, with Trump not trashing early and absentee voting, is certainly a positive thing for them - votes in the box are better than votes that are contingent on election day convenience. But we don't know if that reflects a real change in eventual ballots, or just Republicans mirroring Democrats in moving more of their votes from E-day to early.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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