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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: rayvt 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: book recommendation
Date: 07/09/25 4:34 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 6
80 trades in 6 months is a lot.
Lot lot.
What matters is not how many trades are wins, but how much money you have made. This is the trap that neophytes at options get clobbered with. 9 of 10 trades win but the 10'th trades loses more dollars than the 9 trades gained.

How about this?
"Imagine a trading strategy so simple it takes just five minutes a year to manage, yet it has outperformed the Nasdaq for over a decade."

quantifiedstrategies.com - A simple ETF strategy that outperforms the nasdaq
A Simple 2-ETF Strategy That Outperforms the Nasdaq

Backtest: testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation

Or if you are okay with buying pallets of Tums & sleeping pills: TQQQ.
testfol.io: Portfolio Backtester for ETFs and Asset Allocation

Massive -82% (!!!) drawdown
Drop from $2,050,000 to $420,000
While at the same time of that $2,050,000 QQQ was $103,500 and SPY was $55,000.
The bottom of $420K was higher than the peaks of $103K & $55K

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Members reply directly to rayvt here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
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