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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks G / Alphabet (GOOG)
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Author: tecmo   😊 😞
Number: of 442 
Subject: Valuation Check In : 2026-Q2
Date: 07/23/26 1:13 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 8
cnbc.com - Google earnings q2 goog live updates

            Model       Forecast       Actual
EPS $2.60 $2.89 $2.85
Revenue $180.65B $116.93B $119.80B

Reminder: Google has a history of dialing up (and down) their business levers so Revenue is typically a more stable indicator of their business.

TTM Revenue is now at $445B, and they are trading at $320 / share for a market cap of $3,890B; a multiple of 8.7x. Despite recent drop in the share price, this is still on the very upper end of the historical range (since 2020 it has been between 4.7x and 11.3x) - a weighted average forecast might be in the 7.5x range.

Looking forward a revenue forecast 4 quarters out might be $500B on a TTM basis, taking 7.5x that value we get a share price forecast of $290-$300... so there is still a lot of optimism in the valuation. I think most of this is justified given the market dynamics.

tecmo
...

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This community has written 442 posts about Alphabet. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Judge's Ruling · 24 recs · 2025
Alphabet's Century Long Bet · 23 recs · 2026
Will the Sexy Six Strut or Stumble? · 19 recs · 2025
2Q Summary 2026 · 18 recs · 2026
Up about 50% this year · 17 recs · 2023
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