Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |
Author: RAMc   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: warning about using AI in MI
Date: 03/30/26 5:46 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 10
The article assumes on is using AI in the form of LLM’s but this isn’t at all indicative of using a mixture of fundamental and momentum based machine learning to construct predictive models.

My “first” somewhat primitive ML based system trained on data for 9/14/2015 till 9/14/21 and has been running out of sample data from 1/19/22 till the present holding 25 stocks with no retraining.
The SP500 is up 45% in that period the simulation is up 116%. This is with a 163% annual turnover.
This only used 46 mostly fundamental features but used an ensemble of different machine learning models including both tree and linear based regression and different buy and sell criteria based on the future predictions.

I have better current models but have not yet invested significant sums in the ML models yet as I’m one of those older retirees who logically should minimize the risk factors. But one has to have some challenges in life. But I am absolutely convinced the tools available are a very big improvement for analyzing factors for their performance and how they interact.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to RAMc here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (7) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community