Freely admit I'm guessing. But Trump-supported candidates did an average of 5% worse than other candidates (pulling that figure from memory, but it's close). Trump has a troupe of hard-core supporters, but unless there are too many candidates (like in 2016) that then split the vote, IMHO, Trump will lose. If he only has one or two opponents, instead of 9, he'll fail.

I read an article (NYT, I think) that DeSantis isn't engaging Trump. Trump is starting to attack him, and trying to come up with a derogatory nickname, and meanwhile DeSantis is running his own campaign. Not taking the bait. Not playing Trump's game.

I would be very surprised if Trump is the nominee in 2024. I hope he is, because any Dem (e.g. Biden) will mop the floor with him. Too many people will show up to vote against Trump, no matter how they feel about Biden. DeSantis? He may not generate that visceral a reaction, and Biden could be in trouble.

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