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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: albaby1 SILVER
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Number: of 84350 
Subject: Trump Steps on his own Trade Policy
Date: 05/13/25 10:52 AM
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So then, here's a little illustration of unintended consequences.

Trump likes making deals. I mean, he certainly likes announcing deals, and it seems very integral to his political identity. Hence, one of the main early things to come out of his trip to the Middle East is the announcement of a big investment by Saudi Arabia in the U.S.:

whitehouse.gov - Fact sheet president donald j trump secures historic billion investment commitment in saudi arabia

Here's the thing, though - foreign investment in the U.S. makes trade deficits worse, ceteris paribus. It's the basic national financial identity (in an open economy like ours) - your trade deficit is equal to your investments minus net savings. If you create an exogenous demand for increased investment in the U.S. (like jawboning the Saudis into buying US assets...I mean, investing in our economy), you increase the trade deficit. The Saudis have to buy dollars to make their investments, which makes the dollar a little stronger vs. other currencies, which makes imports go up and exports go down. It all has to balance (which is why it's an identity).

Part of the reason why we run such a huge trade deficit is because there is so much demand to invest in the U.S. - not just in public debt, which is often the subject of this discussion, but also investment in private assets. So when you go out and convince the Saudis to increase their FDI in the U.S., you end up making the trade deficit worse.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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