Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (32) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: ROE_Cash & YEY Blend
Date: 01/23/24 9:29 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 10
There was a post in 2016 listing returns for {ROEPLOW} and {ROIC}...

FWIW, for the original VL versions in the 8 years since that post, ROEPLOW has been largely useless (market tracking or a small penalty), but ROIC has done very nicely.
ROIC has beat the S&P by around 3%/year, monthly at any depth from 5 to 25.

ROIC at depth 25 quarterly after trading costs, advantage 3.26%/year, beating the S&P in 85% of the rolling years.
GSD barely above the S&P if you care about such things (16.6 vs 16.0)


As an aside, never underestimate how much randomness there is in any backtest of only 5 or 10 stocks. This is the biggest issue by far on why so many screens have disappointed after they were created: we found the luckiest screens and variants and posted them. The roll-off in rolling 10 year performance is not uncorrelated with the fraction of each 10-year rolling period that was within the original lucky backtest window.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (32) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community