No. of Recommendations: 15
If Trump wants "credit", why isn't HE the one signing it? Why is Vance in the limelight, doing all the TV "news" interviews, while the torrent of NeoCon/Israeli outrage closes in?
He was up late last night. I don't doubt he'll be claiming all the credit as we go forward.
Could be a typical "JC" setup: set Vance up to fail, because the failure of the deal is already baked in? 60 days of "negotiating" time, gets us almost through the summer travel season.
This part of the deal isn't going to fail. Trump can't have the Strait closed again until after the midterms at the earliest, and probably not again during his term. The Iranians have his number on that. Regardless of whether Israel strikes Lebanon, regardless of whether the 60 days is enough time to reach a deal. Having declared that peace is at hand, having obtained some relief on gas prices and inflation, and having reached the end of Congress' rope, he's not re-starting the bombing campaign.
The next part of the deal will certainly fail. They're not getting a nuclear deal worth the paper it's written on in just sixty days. That's just not a realistic time frame for how long these things take to negotiate even if both sides are eager to move quickly and kind of on the same page but for some details. But I think they'll likely fail, not just be delayed, because Trump isn't going to be able to bring himself to accept a deal that's worse than the JCPOA, and there's no reason the Iranians would ever agree to anything as good for the U.S. as the JCPOA ever again. What's likely to happen is just delay, delay, delay - talks that stretch on for years, and IMHO out until the end of Trump's term. That way he never has to admit failure.
