Post #8435 by Aussi on the Berkshire Hathaway board

Pause to imagine what posts would you want to read here from others. It will likely be kinder, or involve original research with data, or be detailed and thorough, or all of the above. In response, aim to write your own posts in such a way. This will systemically produce the most valuable boards.

- Manlobbi

Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (70)

Prev | Next

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

No. of Recommendations: 1

Between 19491230 and 20190717 there have been 17,503 trading days. Of those days, 1,834 days have been at all-time highs.

Mr Bayes may say, given an all-time high, there were 1,565 occurrences when the SP500 (^S5T in GTR1 speak) 5 years later exceeded a 20% total return. There were 269 days when the total return of the SP500 5 years later did not exceed a 20% return. (The worst 5 year total return after investing at an all-time high was -18%).

So yes, an all-time high is not typical (about 10% of the time), but given an all-time high investing is generally more profitable than a 20% total return.

Aussi

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

Print the post

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (70)

Prev | Next

Announcements

Berkshire Hathaway FAQ

Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

A community forum supporting civilized, and highly helpful, self-educating investors that come together for Shrewdness and merry spirits. These message boards closely follow the look and feel of the old message boards at boards.fool.com prior to the boards redirected to discussion.fool.com. Shrewd'm is not affiliated with the comprehensive and excellent investment website, The Motley Fool (TMF), in any way. The Shrewd commmunity here has owed, and continues to owe, gratitude to The Motley Fool for nurturing a culture of jovial irreverence towards Wall St, and that tradition will continue here.