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Author: tecmo   😊 😞
Number: of 48447 
Subject: Earnings....
Date: 02/04/2025 4:47 PM
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https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/04/alphabet-q4-earnin...


I run a model (very simple) to try and forecast revenue, earnings and multiples to get some direction on expected future share price ranges. The model had the following

            Model        Actual
Revenue: $93.45 $96.47
EPS : $ 2.05 $ 2.15

Price : $176-$191 $192

Note: The Actual price is after hours, it was at $207 prior to the earnings release.

Looking ahead (4 quarters), we might see the following

Revenue : $382B (TTM)
EPS : $10.11 (TTM)

This might suggest a range of $194 - $237; using $215 as a mid-point provides an easy to remember number; roughly 12% above the current price.

tecmo
...

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