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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Said   😊 😞
Number: of 21942 
Subject: Re: BRK forward return by P/B
Date: 09/28/24 5:54 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 9
Just anecdotally: This moment in time will be a huge outlier in a future update of Ray's table:
- BRK-A closed at $686,182. 6 months ago when Price/BV was around 1.6 it closed at $634440 => +6%
- Even more extreme if going one month back, as it closed at $715,300 end of August and $616,561 end of Feb when Price/BV also was around 1.6 => +16%.

The bucket which comes closest in Ray's table is a Price/BV of (even lower) 1.55, with average(!) six months forward returns of -1,53% since 2000. Without knowing the standard deviation of that bucket it's hard to say how extreme this outlier really is, but +6% and +16% sure do look extremely deviating from those averages.

Btw: In case anybody is interested Ray's post motivated me to update my slightly modified version of Jim's "Correlation between Brk's price and the WMA (weighted moving average) of peak BV, inflation adjusted" chart:

Google: File D 1XhVEkCju0hwNwXgqnxHlQIFodZAIc1jH

To be taken with 2 grains of salt: One, that I guessed Q3 BV (at $440,000) instead of waiting a little until it's published. Second, that 2024 BV numbers are not yet inflation adjusted. Minor flaws which should not really influence the not surprising result that valued that way Berkshire is more expensive than usual.

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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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