Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MacroBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (6) |
Author: Mark   😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Re: Another dysfunctional corporate family
Date: 12/30/24 5:51 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 2
Imagine if we were in a recession!

The economy has been remarkably resilient. Seems like every time we think a recession is coming, one segment or another improves enough to bring the overall growth up sufficiently. The death of some retail was kind of foreseen with the rapid increase in wages for retail staff (it went from roughly $10-12/hr to $18-22/hr in less than 5 years). Stores like Party City can't afford to pay someone $20 an hour to blow up balloons a few times an hour, even if they charge $5 a balloon. Plus for non-real-time stuff (like balloons), they faced heavy competition, first from Amazon/eBay/Walmart, but now from direct-from-Asia (or direct from distributor) shippers at rock bottom prices. The same paper and plastic goods that Party City needed to sell for $5.99 a pack can be delivered right from the distributor in Asia for $2.99 a pack (or even less sometimes). And retail places have seen their rent go up a bit, and their insurance go up a lot, and all sorts of compliance expenses go up quite a bit. I wonder what will move into the spot where our Party City is located? Maybe a [two] dollar store or similar?

For example, I recently bought this pack of plastic dinnerware party stuff - amazon.com: Amazon.com: DaYammi 150PCS Gold Plastic Dinnerware Set for 30 Guests The equivalent at Party City would run close to, or maybe even over, $100. Why would I even consider buying it from Party City for over 3 times the price?
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to Mark here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 4,454 posts about Macroeconomic Trends & Risks. The article-length ones it recommended most:
AI Tarpits · 36 recs · 2026
End of an era - profit slowdown · 36 recs · 2023
Control Panel: Trend changes in 2026 · 34 recs · 2026
From the Oregon Bay Area (a blogger) · 33 recs · 2025
Lerner Symmetry Theorem · 32 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (6) |


Announcements
Macroeconomic Trends & Risks FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of Macro | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community