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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: commonone   😊 😞
Number: of 84362 
Subject: Re: Since you don’t want to be called Nazis…
Date: 10/05/25 3:17 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 19
Dope1: 14 million deaths. Somebody posted that with a straight face.

Well, tough call. Who do we believe, The Lancet — a weekly peer-reviewed general medical journal, founded in England in 1823, one of the world's highest-impact academic journals and also one of the oldest medical journals still in publication — or Dope1?

THE LANCET:

Higher levels of USAID funding — primarily directed toward LMICs, particularly African countries — were associated with a 15% reduction in age-standardised all-cause mortality (risk ratio [RR] 0·85, 95% CI 0·78–0·93) and a 32% reduction in under-five mortality (RR 0·68, 0·57–0·80). This finding indicates that 91 839 663 (95% CI 85 690 135–98 291 626) all-age deaths, including 30 391 980 (26 023 132–35 482 636) in children younger than 5 years, were prevented by USAID funding over the 21-year study period.

USAID funding was associated with a 65% reduction (RR 0·35, 0·29-0·42) in mortality from HIV/AIDS (representing 25·5 million deaths), 51% (RR 0·49, 0·39–0·61) from malaria (8·0 million deaths), and 50% (RR 0·50, 0·40–0·62) from neglected tropical diseases (8·9 million deaths). Significant decreases were also observed in mortality from tuberculosis, nutritional deficiencies, diarrhoeal diseases, lower respiratory infections, and maternal and perinatal conditions.

Forecasting models predicted that the current steep funding cuts could result in more than 14 051 750 (uncertainty interval 8 475 990–19 662 191) additional all-age deaths, including 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) in children younger than age 5 years, by 2030.


npr.org - Trump usaid foreign aid deaths

ph.ucla.edu - Research finds more million preventable deaths if usaid defunding

You'll have to Google the Lancet study, quoted above. I couldn't get the URL to display correctly.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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