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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21941 
Subject: Re: Dividends
Date: 01/15/24 1:01 PM
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<ik>Would you mind posting a graph or a table with your valuation level.

Sure.

http://stonewellfunds.com/TrendEY_1916-2023.png
As this is the smoothed earnings yield, low numbers mean "expensive", so I inverted the vertical scale. That makes "up" mean "expensive", the way people are used to seeing things.

Coupla more figures, since I have 'em.

5-year average trailing dividend yield (not cyclically adjusted!) compared to 50-year average dividend yield would suggest stocks have been running around 63% more fully valued than past average.
Latest figure would suggest 86% pricier than 50 year average.

5-year average trailing earnings yield (not cyclically adjusted!) compared to 50-year average would suggests stocks have been running around 51% more fully valued than past average.
Latest figure would suggest 60% pricier than 50 year average.

Based on S&P 500 non-financial companies price/sales, the current ratio (10.15) appears to show the index 50.1% more expensive than the average of the same ratio since 2000 (6.77).
Some small fraction of that is explained by a change in the mix of firms in the S&P 500: a few more high-net-margin firms have been added, and a few low-net-margin firms have been dropped, but it's not a night-and-day difference.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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