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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks G / Alphabet (GOOG)
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Author: sykesix ✭  😊 😞
Number: of 469 
Subject: Re: Earnings
Date: 10/30/26 3:55 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 5
A Google search told me:
"Google’s core Search revenue growth decelerated sharply to 12% year-over-year in Q3 2026, down from 19% in Q1 and 17% in Q2.
This sequential slowdown—culminating in a nearly $1.6 billion miss against Wall Street's 15% growth projections—triggered a historic 12.6% single-day stock plunge that wiped out roughly $500 billion in market value."


AI queries are cannibalizing ad revenue. In context, just a couple years ago revenues were growing at 12% and most analysts were bullish. Now ads are are down to "only" 12% and it is time to sell. Presumably, the worry is the tend of slowing growth will continue. BUT Google Cloud revenues, the AI portion of the business that is cannibalizing ads, were up over 100%. I'm not saying how long that rate of growth can or will continue, but if it does Cloud will be bigger than search in less than a year. Even at a mere 40% it will overtake search in two years. So maybe exchanging AI for search isn't such a bad deal.

Overall, revenues were up 25% with improving margins, which is pretty darn good. The sticky wicket is FCF, which went negative. But I think you could make the argument that if you can grow a segment at 100% you should invest every possible dollar you can.
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This community has written 469 posts about Alphabet. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Judge's Ruling · 24 recs · 2025
Alphabet's Century Long Bet · 23 recs · 2026
Will the Sexy Six Strut or Stumble? · 19 recs · 2025
2Q Summary 2026 · 18 recs · 2026
Up about 50% this year · 17 recs · 2023
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