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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: sykesix   😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Re: OT: Ukraine and Russia
Date: 08/21/25 4:36 PM
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Putin has been clear from the start that he intends to reconstruct the Russian Empire with himself as head.

On Monday, Trump declared he made a breakthrough, stating the Putin would be willing to accept an Article 5 style security agreement for Ukraine.

Yesterday, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov clarified that Russia would have to be on the guarantors, essentially giving Russia veto power over the security agreement. This is essentially the same as Russia's proposal in the draft 2022 Istanbul Protocol which was never signed.

In short, Russia hasn't budged a bit.

nytimes.com - Ukraine russia security guarantees

Ukraine's hand isn't great, but it isn't all bad either. Russia is still advancing, but at a glacial pace. Mostly capturing empty fields and tiny villages. Analysts suggest Russia suffers about 20,000 casualties per month, and is generating about 20,000 troops per month. So their rate of advance appears to matched to their ability to generate new forces.
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