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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: beating the market
Date: 07/12/23 6:24 PM
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QQQ has outperformed QQQE by quite a bit since QQQE inception (2012-03-21):
...
* Would this be accounted for by valuations?


My best explanation is this:

QQQE is how that sector of companies is doing.

QQQ is that return, plus or minus a VERY large random number, depending on the recent luck (good or bad) of a tiny number of very large firms.
To make a long story short, Apple's stock has done very well.
Four companies make up a whopping 40% of the fund.

So, if QQQ does better than QQQE, for a short while or a long while, it can't be extrapolated as a structural advantage.
It was good luck, and congrats to the people who had the benefit of that luck. But investing by relying on luck isn't a sustainable choice.

If you are truly able to value that tiny number of gigantic firms well enough to have a position in them, then buy them. No need for QQQ.
If you are NOT truly able to value them, you shouldn't have a big concentration in them. No need for QQQ.
So, for almost everybody, what you want is either something like QQQE or something entirely different.

Note, a side effect of the lack of concentration in QQQE is that it is vastly easier to value.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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