Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of MIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (149) |
Author: musselmant 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: Chart: timing with Nas100 RS screen
Date: 06/12/26 7:28 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 4
I am constantly trying to improve the strategy. Here is the latest, which generated a 36% compound annual growth rate 12/31/99-4/28/2026 (it doesn't include the monster run-up we had since April).

1) you determine if SPY is above its 325 day SMA (it is right now). If not you go to cash on trade day.
2) you trade the 2nd-to-last TRADE day of each month.
3) you get the list of Nasdaq100 stocks and make sure Nasdaq didn't make changes since you last looked.
4) you make two lists: a list of the top 9 months price change stocks, top 5 in the Nasdaq100, through yesterday's close (i.e. close on the 3rd-to-last day of the month).
5) you make another, separate list of the top 5 in the Nasdaq100 measured by the next ratio: price / (sum of highest price in last 1 year + lowest price in the last year)
6) on the 2nd-to-last day of every month you buy the stocks that overlap from those 2 lists i.e. in #4 and #5

Often there will be fewer than 5 total stocks. I tested going back to the two lists to buy more so you own 5 or 10 stocks, and it massively reduced return. So my advice is to buy much more of the overlap list you create and if you still want some more stocks use less money to buy other stocks from the 2 lists.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to musselmant here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Dividend investing · 52 recs · 2025
Non-Mag7 screen · 34 recs · 2025
OT - Div yields and returns · 32 recs · 2024
Using AI to generate backtesting programs · 30 recs · 2025
Rankings for 19Dec2022 · 29 recs · 2022
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (149) |


Announcements
Mechanical Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of MI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community