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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: lizgdal   😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: funds mech?
Date: 04/01/26 4:07 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 3
The OP article found "that managers who outperform on bad days do not outperform on other days, while those who outperform on other days tend to underperform on bad days... For past bad-day outperformers, monthly alpha is driven entirely by outperformance on the single worst day of the month. In contrast, past other-day outperformers generate alpha only on normal days and strictly underperform on bad days."

There are two non-overlapping groups: bad-day outperformers and other-day outperformers.

The article rejects some theories: "We reject explanations for persistence related to flow-induced selling pressure or stale pricing and conclude that outperforming on bad days requires skill. What is the nature of this skill? One possibility is that managers who outperform on bad days are simply more skilled overall. The stronger response of flows to performance on bad days could even suggest that such performance provides a better signal of general skill than performance on other days. Both interpretations are unlikely."
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This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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