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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21943 
Subject: Re: 1 Year Out
Date: 03/29/23 7:51 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 42
It seems pretty reasonable to assume, as in the past, that any security with an intrinsic value rising over time will
(a) see new high prices from time to time, and
(b) see waits between such fresh highs that get only so long

However, I like to note that the time it takes to hit a new high is pretty dependent on what the valuation was like the LAST time it hit a new high.
If Berkshire had traded at twice book a year ago, it would make sense to be prepared for a much longer wait for a fresh all time high.
Conversely if it had been bouncing along the bottom of its valuation multiple range for a while, the wait is likely to be shorter.

A potentially more predictive metric along the same lines:
How long has it been since price-to-peak-book was over 1.4?
That has only ever exceeded 1.2 years once in the past, the longest-ever wait being 2.1 years in the stretch ending almost exactly 10 years ago.
At the moment we're at 1.2 years and counting.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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