No. of Recommendations: 7
Bear markets are often accompanied by recessions. January 3, 2022 was the beginning of a Bear market. A recession is expected by many, but has not been sighted yet.
Nine of the last eleven recessions started during a Bear market. (Stock market tops did not lead the 1953 and 1960 recessions. The 1961, 1966, 1987 market tops did not lead recessions.) For these nine events, the median time between the stock market top and the recession start was 8 months (range 0 to 40 months). The median time between the recession start and the market bottom was 5 months (range 1 to 19 months).
SP500 recession SP500 recession Bear recession Top to Start Bottom
top start bottom end length length Start to Bottom to End
7/12/1957 8/15/1957 10/22/1957 4/15/1958 3 8 1 2 6
11/29/1968 12/15/1969 5/26/1970 11/15/1970 18 11 13 5 6
1/11/1973 11/15/1973 10/3/1974 3/15/1975 21 16 10 11 5
9/21/1976 1/15/1980 3/27/1980 7/15/1980 42 6 40 2 4
11/28/1980 7/15/1981 8/12/1982 11/15/1982 20 16 8 13 3
6/4/1990 7/15/1990 10/11/1990 3/15/1991 4 8 1 3 5
3/24/2000 3/15/2001 10/9/2002 11/15/2001 31 8 12 19 -11
10/9/2007 12/15/2007 3/9/2009 6/15/2009 17 18 2 15 3
2/14/2020 2/15/2020 3/23/2020 4/15/2020 1 2 0 1 1
median 18 8 8 5 4
months months months months months
links...
s.wsj.net - BA StocksRecsnhttp://www.datahelper.com/mi/search.phtml?nofool=y... 