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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21944 
Subject: Re: O/T: An Injustice
Date: 07/03/25 10:34 PM
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Now that Apple, meta, Goog, etc pay a small dividend it’s very obvious I was correct 20 years ago. A small dividend would have increased demand for brk.

I think it's entirely reasonable to believe that and express it. You might even be right. But I think it's inappropriate to claim that there is evidence that you have been correct about that.

For one things, there is some very strong evidence to the contrary, even in this thread: the introduction of a dividend after a long period without one is a firm and loud declaration to the market that you are ex growth, which is why so many shareholders on the board dread the day. Look at what happened to Microsoft stock when they started. (dead money for years, to overgeneralize)

Strictly speaking the first introduction of a dividend should be interpreted as being the situation that you can't invest all your available capital at high returns any more, but being able to invest lots of capital at high returns is perceived to be very similar to "what a growth company does". If Berkshire can't allocate lots of capital at good rates of return, the compounding machine is over, so the market beating rates of growth are over. That's not a press release, the day of capitulation, that Berkshire shareholders should look forward to.

Without compounding--investing new capital at pretty good rates--Berkshire is a very boring cash cow with pretty low returns. Even with all the capital allocated to operating units for capex and tuck-ins, the operating earnings have been on a pretty unexciting trajectory for a long time.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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