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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Macroeconomic Trends & Risks
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Author: WendyBG x2🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 4460 
Subject: Re: Falling USD - pros and cons
Date: 01/29/26 12:49 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 7
@UpNorthJoe wrote (among other well-reasoned points), "If interest rates on US T's have to rise to attract buyers, that burden could/would cause a chain of events that none of us really want to experience."

Joe, I rec'd your good post. Many people, including myself, are concerned about the dramatic rise in U.S. debt. The book, "This Time Is Different," describes how many nations in history failed after their debt exceeded 100% of GDP.

St. Louis Fed (FRED): Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product (GFDEGDQ188S) | FRED

Congressional Budget Office: Publication 60870

Bond traders in the free market have already forced a steeper Treasury yield curve.
stockcharts.com: Dynamic Yield Curve | StockCharts.com

The Federal Reserve bought many long-term Treasury and GSE bonds to repress yields. They tapered their bloated book to some degree but they could turn on a dime and do QE again.
St. Louis Fed (FRED): Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets (Less Eliminations from Consolidation): Wednesday Level (WALCL) | FRED

Pumping fiat money into the system increases asset prices (such as stocks and homes) if the money goes to financial institutions. Fiscal stimulus, which originates with Congress and goes into consumer pockets, causes consumer price inflation.

None of this is good for long-term stability. Like you, I don't know why our international suppliers sell their goods to us and then buy Treasuries with the trade surplus. Oh...yes, I do. They have huge populations and must keep them employed for political stability.
Wendy
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