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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: albaby1 BRONZE
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Number: of 80400 
Subject: Re: Trump Iran Deal vs Obama Deal
Date: 05/25/26 2:09 PM
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Who’s “they”? In the deal I outlined Reza Pahlavi is likely the interim President of Iran.

You believe that Reza Pahlavi is going to become the interim President of Iran before we enter into a deal with the Iranians? Like, within the next few days?

Wow, that's a bit of....well, I'd call it wishcasting, but that's really. Although it's worth noting that in Iran, like many other countries, the office of "President" is largely a ceremonial one, and wields very little actual power - roughly analogous to the King of England, who serves as head of state but not head of government. Iran is unusual in that the President is nominally the head of government, but in actual practice it is the Supreme Leader who holds that role. I suppose it is theoretically possible that Iran might agree to sideline Pezeshkian (who holds no power) and replace him with Pahlavi (who would similarly hold no power) in order to give Trump a completely irrelevant "win" that his supporters might mistakenly think is relevant, just to help him with his politics. However, I suspect that Trump realizes that eventually his supporters would realize that it doesn't matter at all who the President is (especially after the Iran war hawks lay into the arrangement) and not bother.

Since that's not the least bit likely to happen, I fully expect that any actual agreement that is entered into between the U.S. and Iran will be criticized by you as "indefensible ass" for the same reasons as you levy that claim against the JCPOA: Iran by its very nature will cheat and evade, and therefore no commitments from the regime can be relied on.

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