No. of Recommendations: 3
Did the peak Book change with the newest data, or is it still the one from Jan. 2022?
If I am not mistaken BV currently is around $227, so practically identical to that PeakBV of $230. With the current price of $323 Price/PeakBV is 1.42, return-wise in the lower middle range of Jim's table - - - to which I don't have a link, but below is a copy of his post:
First column is the average price-to-peak-book in that bucket. Each bucket is 1/20th of the observation start dates.
Second column is the average real one year return starting with a P/peakB in that bucket.
Third column is my smoothing of that data.
(I did a linear fit, and a cubic fit, and averaged those two results)
P/Peak Obser Model
1.075 34.6% 30.1%
1.165 22.2% 20.6%
1.204 19.1% 17.5%
1.250 15.4% 14.5%
1.295 10.5% 12.1%
1.323 4.6% 10.8%
1.343 5.5% 10.0%
1.359 9.7% 9.4%
1.376 8.5% 8.8%
1.392 5.5% 8.2%
1.412 4.5% 7.6%
1.438 5.7% 6.9%
1.461 6.8% 6.2%
1.483 5.3% 5.6%
1.509 7.7% 4.9%
1.537 8.1% 4.0%
1.579 3.5% 2.7%
1.638 4.0% 0.4%
1.693 -2.2% -2.4%
1.808 -12.0% -10.9%
1.303 11.7% today (PeakBV 230)
(1.Jan: 1.34 => 10%)
