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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: Jim's bottom detector
Date: 04/29/25 3:33 PM
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Latest update on my bottom detectors:
2025-03-28 No signal...
2025-03-31 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-01 No signal
2025-04-02 No signal
2025-04-03 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-04 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-07 One of my two major bottom detectors triggered, but not the best and oldest "classic" one with all the post discovery history.


Just a follow up.

The major bottom detector didn't trigger.

The "newer major bottom" signal isn't really as good as the classic, it's really just an extra strong version of the minor bottom. (confused yet?)

So here is a recap of early April

2025-03-28 No signal
2025-03-31 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-01 No signal
2025-04-02 No signal
2025-04-03 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-04 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-07 Strong minor bottom signal (could be thought of as a newer/worse major bottom signal)
2025-04-08 Strong minor bottom signal (could be thought of as a newer/worse major bottom signal)
2025-04-09 Strong minor bottom signal (could be thought of as a newer/worse major bottom signal)
2025-04-10 No signal
2025-04-11 Minor bottom signal
2025-04-14 No signal

The market was lowest on the 7th, and the lowest close was the 8th.
So, on the theory that you want safety, you'd be buying the first day there was NOT a signal, which would be April 10. It is generally quite evident well before market close.
The US market is up 5.7% since the close on the 10th, so far. Usually the one-month-forward returns are good after such a signal. On average, anyway.

Jim
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