OK, I’m gonna go out on a very thin limb here and predict a massive Christmas.

I tend to agree. Sadly (had to pick something up at the Apple store), I was at the mall once over the last two weeks and even then it was crowded. And a few family members have been to the mall this week and reported crowds (can't judge by parking lots anymore because since an anchor store closed, there is more than adequate parking, even on Christmas Eve.

However, in order for the discussion to make any sense, we have to define "massive". "They" are expecting a flat-ish Christmas selling season, maybe flat or down 1 or up 1 percent from last year. I agree with you and think it'll be more like up 3, 4, or even 5 or more percent. What is your definition of "massive"?

Oh, and on Black Friday, I bought a new toilet lever for $7.99 ... universal fit kind ... ended up returning it a few days later ... because it didn't fit. I guess "universal" doesn't include my Toto model.