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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Author: Goofyhoofy 🐝 HONORARY
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Number: of 84363 
Subject: Re: RFK to drop out, endorse Trump
Date: 08/22/24 10:42 AM
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RFK is the lunatic vote, which would go to trump anyway in a 2-person race.

Actually not. As Philip Bump explains in this WaPo column, Kamala actually has a bigger lead with RFK out of the race than with him in it. The difference is small (1 point) but it’s hardly a given that RFK dropping out (as is now expected) will change much at all.

For one thing, his support is very small, now that Biden has dropped out. His polling numbers dropped substantially immediately after than announcement and have not recovered. Also, the polling is largely national, but RFK isn’t even on the ballot in many states.

I read the column a couple days ago, (and am in the airport awaiting boarding so, no review) but it seems that there are large blocks who were disenchanted with Biden: Latinos, younger, who in a three person choice between Biden & Trump were choosing RFK, but in a two person race went to Harris.

RFK’s exit might actually help the Dems, or at least be close to neutral.

washingtonpost.com - Kennedy drop out trump
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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