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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 6131 
Subject: Re: OT: regress to the mean
Date: 07/04/24 12:06 PM
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The US, Sweden and Switzerland had the best performing stock markets 1900-2000.

As an unrelated aside, I once read a fairly serious paper which attempted to explain historical excess equity returns (the "equity premium puzzle") very simply: most analysis is done on the US market, but that doesn't take into account survivorship bias of stock markets themselves. Most stock markets that existed in the late 19th century have completely closed at some point, usually as a total loss for shareholders. By performing an analysis of one that survived (so far), the overall sample is very skewed to the positive. An interesting result that goes along with that is that the average valuation multiple of a given stock market is somewhat correlated with how long the stock market has been continuously operating: people are more willing to believe it will stick around.

Jim
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This community has written 6,115 posts about Mechanical Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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