No. of Recommendations: 12
Officially official, Vance cancelled trip to Switzerland. Talks postponed. Israel continuing aggression in Lebanon.
Not surprising. Now that the time-critical part is out of the way (the Strait is opened), neither the U.S. nor Iran have much incentive to rush through to the actual nuclear talks. For Trump, they're not likely to end up with anything he can trumpet as better than the JCPOA (and very well may end up with a worse outcome), so he'd like to have the ambiguity out there as long as he can. Without the spur of high oil prices forcing him to act, this just won't be a priority for him. And Iran has basically gotten a dream scenario under the existing MOU - assets unfrozen and sanctions lifted and the war ended without giving anything up relative to the status quo ante - so they have no reason to take the next deal seriously.
