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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Raylight   😊 😞
Number: of 21942 
Subject: Re: 5 year challenge - update
Date: 12/18/22 6:25 AM
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So far, this seems to say something about the voters on that old poll: they weren't so dumb.
Note the near one-for-one correspondence between the order of choice popularity and the order of returns so far.

Interesting observation. Intriguingly good fit.

But perhaps, for a poll like this, returns at a certain point in time also has something to say about volatility?
Cannot help but notice the giant shooting star on SNOW on December 8, 2020, as well as the rapid run up on TSLA.

So, out of curiosity, I looked at the update on this poll in two alternate universes.
In those, the poll was posted on a Thursday a few weeks earlier. 12/11 instead of 10/12.

Returns as of Friday 11/11/2022:

        at open  at close
BRK.A +36.8% +39.5%
SNOW -39.1% -32.2%
TSLA +34.4% +42.8%


(Pen and paper math, so please forgive me for not including all of them.)

Which makes me wonder. Could there be a less noisy, yet fair and agreeable, complementary way to calculate interim results for a long-running challenge?
Something simple that tries to take random spikes and volatility into account, while still being true to the original poll?

Nothing important.. just, well, there's a dilemma in this that I find interesting.
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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