No. of Recommendations: 15
To achieve one meter of sea level rise by 2100 the rate of rise will have to increase exponentially from present rates.Who said 1m by 2100? I was thinking of 500-1000 years.
Though, as you mention it, "1m by 2100" is very near many of the current "intermediate" scenario estimates, within a VERY wide range of estimates.
e.g.,
climate.gov: Images and Media: sea_level_rise_2022_scenarioupdate.pngAs for an exponential increase in rates, the accelerating rate of rise is not in question. The second order coefficients are small, but pretty clear.
Reaching net zero soon might slow or even halt the acceleration, though not the continuing rise. Some people believe in that. Other people believe the earth is hollow.
My niece is some kind of world class expert on precisely how many people get flooded out, where, and by when.
I can post the latest numbers if you like, but it isn't exactly the sort of thing to leave you chipper. She's looking for some new, very distracting hobbies.
Jim
