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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: Munger_Disciple 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 21944 
Subject: BRK Expected Returns
Date: 03/02/25 2:42 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 7
What do fellow Shrewds expect BRK returns to be over the next 5 years? I will start with my guess:

I expect the intrinsic value growth to be around 9% per year. But given that its current price is at the high end (or perhaps even slightly above) IV, I expect a compression in its price/ book or price/IV which will subtract 3% per annum over the next 5 years. So, I expect an annual return of about 6%. And if I am wrong, I take the under on that. I assume somewhat "normal" economic conditions (no huge recessions like the GFC, only a mild one).
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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