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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Index Investing
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Author: mechinv   😊 😞
Number: of 291 
Subject: Average index returns of a new bull market
Date: 10/14/24 10:35 PM
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Index investors in the bull market that began in October 2022 have enjoyed a return of 63% since then. What does this tell you about your ability to predict the stock market? Be honest. Two years ago, did you think we'd be 63% higher today?

Quote from Warren Buffett:
"I am certainly not going to predict what the stock market is going to do in the next year or two since I don't have the faintest idea."

And here's another fun fact. As David Marlin (@Marlin_Capital) says, "The last 2 years of market gains may seem massive, but they're actually right in line with the average S&P 500 gains in the first 2 years of a New Bull Market.

Hard to believe, but, since 1957, the 2-year returns of a new bull market have averaged +58%. Chart and data at

x.com - Marlin Capital

How have you all been doing? Have you been making the hay while the sun has been shining?

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This community has written 287 posts about Index Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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