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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Halls of Shrewd'm / US Policy
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Author: Goofyhoofy 🐝 HONORARY
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Number: of 84346 
Subject: Re: Winning Looks a Lot Like Losing...
Date: 04/09/26 7:53 AM
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Yeah, and exactly 1 person on this board talks about the size of the Navy and how important is for things like this. That would be...me.

Still in the throes of “size matters”, I see.

Here’s the thing. The Strait is so narrow and the shipping lanes so defined that there are essentially undefendable. You can put a destroyer on each end of a tanker, and you can still take out the tanker with a drone swarm.

Russian, as well as military strategists from Allied countries have described the Strait was Iran’s “nuclear bomb”. In some ways it’s much better than a nuclear bomb, because it is virtually inexhaustible. It can be closed or opened at will, and there is almost no defense against it, save a massive ground invasion of Iran itself, which no one wants to do (particularly after the Republican championed Iraq fiasco.) It affects the core of the enemy’s economy at the cost of a few tens of thousands of dollars. It affects THE WHOLE WORLD, while barely lifting a finger.

Based on recent geopolitical analysis, the Strait of Hormuz is being described by officials and analysts as Iran's "nuclear weapon," acting as a strategic, non-conventional deterrent that offers immense, immediate leverage against global powers, particularly the U.S. and Israel.

Following an April 2026 ceasefire, officials, including an adviser to Russian President Vladimir Putin, stated that Iran’s ability to close this key waterway is a tested, "inexhaustible" weapon against its adversaries, functioning as a high-stakes leverage tool rather than a nuclear bomb


There are all kinds of situations where the BIG military power is taken down by a smaller, smarter, or more well positioned power. (Heck, we have Vietnam and Afghanistan in our own recent history. Were you not paying attention?) Don’t count on the Strait being opened anytime soon unless Iran decides its in their own best interest to do so. That seems unlikely while bombs are falling on their heads.
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This community has written 84,309 posts about US Policy. The article-length ones it recommended most:
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