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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch ✹✺🐝🐝🐝 SILVER
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Number: of 22989 
Subject: Re: with the move up
Date: 10/29/26 8:14 AM
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I predict they will have bought $20bn of Alphabet since the end of Q2. That might earn a lot more than buying Berkshire stock at a middling valuation level.
The reasoning is simple:
(a) they were pretty big buyers at $350
(b) it has been spending a lot of time below that lately, current price $327.50
(c) Berkshire doesn't usually dabble, once they find something big that meets all their criteria


As a lesser speculation to add to my speculation above:

If the soon to be released 13F reports large Alphabet purchases in Q2, which will necessarily have been at average prices above the current price of $288, that might conceivably prompt a rally in Alphabet stock. Alphabet is gigantic, but it's surprising how many people pay attention to moves attributed to Mr Buffett.

Of course the price at $288 is still seemingly quite rich compared to what has been typical in the last decade (at ~8.5 times trailing sales versus a typical number closer to 7), so it's not like a buyer today would be bottom fishing. At least 8.5 is better than 11-12 in the spring, or the 10+ that Berkshire paid in Q2.

Better a great company at a moderately rich price than a poor company at a great price? Especially if it can soak up billions.

Jim
I guess this post makes me a speculator?
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This community has written 22,499 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 58 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 55 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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