Post #91 by Said on the Mechanical Investing board

Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing ❤

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (40)

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

No. of Recommendations: 0

zee: Many Wall Street firms attempt to predict how the S&P 500 will do in a year. At the start of 2022 they all predicted a positive return on the year. Historical precedent was saying the opposite. It predicted a twenty to thirty percent drop in the major indexes.

"Historical precedent"? At the turn of the year there was still an even directly before ongoing bull market. How can history tell when such ends?

What I could understand: If such an extreme long bull comes to an end and it's clear(!) we are finally in a bear market that from history maybe one can deduce how long and how deep that bear will be.

But when everything just directly(!) until a point X in time is upwards: How then can history tell that the end is reached right now, at that point X?

Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!

Print the post

Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (40)

Prev | Next

Announcements

Mechanical Investing FAQ

Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

A community forum supporting civilized, and highly helpful, self-educating investors that come together for Shrewdness and merry spirits. These message boards closely follow the look and feel of the old message boards at boards.fool.com prior to the boards redirected to discussion.fool.com. Shrewd'm is not affiliated with the comprehensive and excellent investment website, The Motley Fool (TMF), in any way. The Shrewd commmunity here has owed, and continues to owe, gratitude to The Motley Fool for nurturing a culture of jovial irreverence towards Wall St, and that tradition will continue here.