Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of BRK.ABest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (5) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 21943 
Subject: Re: Anyone adding?
Date: 12/21/23 5:39 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 10
Below some buyback levels by WEB

If you're interested in keeping an eye on Mr Buffett's buyback strategies, here's a geeky number for you.

A fit for how many A-share equivalents are being bought per working day as calculated by Excel:
=MAX(0, -1700 * PB + 2540)

where PB is ratio of average price P/B in the date range, using the highest-to-date known book per share on each day.

It's not a reliable formula, but it gives a quick idea.

It implicitly gives no buybacks above 1.5 times book.
Using the average P/B in a reported date interval, to generalize just a hair, there have been buybacks above 1.49 times peak-to-date book, but none above 1.5, so something like 1.5 seems to be the "too expensive" cutoff.

The buybacks in Jan and Feb 2022 were outliers in the sense of lots of buybacks at higher average multiples in the period. That could be a bit of a quirk of the data though: the price moved a huge amount in March, and the buybacks were loaded to the low end at the first part of the month. The average price paid was 4.5% lower than the average market price in the month for both A and B shares.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (5) |


Announcements
Berkshire Hathaway FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of BRK.A | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community