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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Alibaba (BABA)
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Author: EVBigMacMeal 🐝🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 77 
Subject: Re: Everything has a price
Date: 07/08/23 10:30 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 2
Thanks for posting your analysis there Manlobbi. Much appreciated.

'7 times cash flow, with cash flow having grown 15% the last 5 years: It feels like being back in the 1950s with Ben Graham getting excited nearby.'

When you say 7 times cash flow: what does that broadly include and exclude?

Presumably that is excluding capex?

SBC excluded?

7x, 8X, 9x: doesn't matter much anyway compared to 22X if it was a US firm.

It certainly is better value than US big tech and I would expect it to do well if purchased at current prices over the next 10 years.

Like many others, I am under water on this one but plan to hold all my investments until the bitter end. We will see how it plays out. I don't mind having some money in China in this uncertain western world from a diversification perspective.

Expanding government debt service and the risk of strangers becoming less enthusiastic about buying US treasuries and U.K. gilts, which would result in continued money printing, is a risk and maybe some money in China is not a bad thing.

I generally take my lead from Buffett and am about 80% Berkshire and therefore betting heavily on the US. But a little Alibaba and Tencent helps me sleep at night, particularly when they are statistically cheap and arguably very strong businesses.

Best wishes
EVBigMacMeal



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This community has written 77 posts about Alibaba. The article-length ones it recommended most:
Alibaba's Quarterly Report Review · 13 recs · 2024
BABA Pops on Ant News · 11 recs · 2023
Everything has a price · 8 recs · 2023
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