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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21937 
Subject: Re: Perplexed
Date: 05/13/25 3:11 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 29
Other than it being futile to expect much rationality from Mr Market, I suspect that some portion of it can be put down to "risk on / risk off".

Good news? Knee jerk reaction to buy stuff that is optimistic and zoomy and growth oriented.
The latest news item makes it look like a recession is coming? The defensives hold up.

I think this view has some modest explanatory power, sometimes. For example, when Berkshire was a gigantic holder of Apple stock, it seemed oddly common for their prices to move substantially in opposite direction for weeks at a time. A higher Apple price should make Berkshire seem more valuable, but one is risk-on and the other is risk-off.

Right now the market is on a sugar high, which makes no sense to me on the surface of things. ("Good news! You have six months to live instead of three!") But it is what it is.

The VIX is back under 18 and the S&P 500 index is high and soaring. It's definitely not for everyone, but if one were ever to consider picking up a few "disaster puts", this might not be such a bad time to start considering it. This year's low may be below 4500 rather than today's 5900. Or not, of course.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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