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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
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Number: of 21938 
Subject: BRK and S&P value growth
Date: 08/14/26 7:00 AM
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No. of Recommendations: 44
I thought this image might be interesting.

stonewellfunds.com - BRKandS P ValueAndPrice

This shows a yardstick of the value of the S&P index (smoothed real earnings), and its price, both adjusted for inflation.
The cool colours.

It also shows a yardstick for the value of Berkshire (peak book to date), and its price, both adjusted for inflation.
The warm colours.

All of them are presented as log scale and rescaled to the same number in Sept 2005. The date was chosen mainly because at that time the valuation of both of those picks was pretty close to their respective averages since then.

Note that this is an analysis of the price and value of the S&P *index*, without dividends. It isn't a chart of the total return series of a dividend-paying fund like SPY, because the trend earnings line is a metric of the value of the index itself, not something that rises with total return. But the modest dividends don't really change the key insight that the price level of the S&P has really pulled away from its value metric. The S&P has become a whole lot more expensive and Berkshire hasn't, so that's the only reason that the total returns have been similar in the last 10-20 years.

If both alternatives were to continue their rates of value growth (which won't happen), the S&P total return could continue to keep up with Berkshire only by getting even more expensive forever (which DEFINITELY won't happen)

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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