Post #564 by DTB on the Falling Knives board

Investment Strategies / Falling Knives

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average of 4bn fcf x 20 multiple equates to 80bn market cap and $24 per share that's 9% of the current price. Didn't appreciate it was that overvalued.

If Tesla was just a car manufacturer with stagnant sales growth and significant reputational issues, I think your conclusion would be warranted. But it ignores the significant potential of full self-driving and robotaxis and personal robots, to name just 2 earth-shattering technological developments that are far from guaranteed to work, but if they do...

I'm too much of a chicken to buy the shares but I wouldn't bet against them.

DTB

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